NFL Week 15 betting guide

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

Spread: Cleveland -2.5

Total: 38 points

We know the Ravens' defense is legit and the Browns' offense hasn't looked terrific, but we like points here. First, no matter who is under center for Baltimore, the Browns have allowed a ton of touchdowns all over the field this season. Five of the last six games between these two teams have gone for 40+ points, and we have a reasonable total sitting here for us on Saturday afternoon.

Betting: Over 38 points

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills

Spread: Buffalo -7

Total: 44 points

Five of the last six quarterbacks to face Miami have gone over their completions prop, and the only one that went under was Jimmy G, and Brock Purdy came in and completed 25 balls that game. We're taking that belief and looking to some receptions props. Gabriel Davis has 3+ catches in four of his last five games and caught three balls against the Dolphins in September.

Betting: Gabriel Davis over 2.5 receptions (-148 CZR)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Spread: Philadelphia -9

Total: 48.5 points

Take the over here. These two teams are both 9-4 to the over, the best record in the NFL. Philly will likely take on the heavy lifting here as they look to score 35+ points for the fourth straight week, but don't sleep on Justin Fields making something happen here off the bye and likely a bit healthier than when we last saw him.

Betting: Over 48.5 points

Dallas Cowboys @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Dallas -4

Total: 48 points

Suddenly, the Dallas secondary has sported some consistent leaks. They've allowed 14 touchdowns to wide receivers this year, which equals the total scores they've allowed to RBs and TEs combined. Christian Kirk has been rolling and should find some success on Sunday.

Betting: Christian Kirk TD (+120 DK)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans

Spread: Kansas City -14

Total: 49.5 points

Last week, Houston were 17-point underdogs and came close to winning. Still at home and facing another massive spread, we're taking the Texans to keep this one respectful. Since the beginning of 2020, Kansas City is 22-29-1 ATS.

Betting: Texans +14

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Spread: New Orleans -4

Total: 43.5 points

It'll be rookie Desmond Ridder's first start and NFL action this Sunday, as Atlanta has made a shift at quarterback. The Falcons remain in the mix, and the Saints have not looked good at all this season. Let's back the rook making some plays, there isn't much tape on his tendencies which we feel gives him the upper hand here.

Betting: Falcons +4

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Carolina Panthers

Spread: Carolina -3

Total: 37.5 points

Just like that the Panthers are within a game of the NFC South lead. It's far more a testament to the horribleness that is that division, but still - Carolina has looked more competitive of late. Expect a big game from DJ Moore against a generous Pittsburgh secondary. The Steelers have allowed the fourth-most touchdowns to WRs this year.

Betting: DJ Moore TD (+230 CZR)

New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders

Spread: Las Vegas -1

Total: 44.5 points

Derek Carr did not look good last week, and the calling card for this Patriots team has been the quality of their defense. It's crazy to say, but New England is in the playoff race, and they should be able to do enough against what isn't that great of a Raiders team here to stay in the mix.

Betting: Patriots +1

Arizona Cardinals @ Denver Broncos

Spread: Denver -3

Total: 37 points

It failed us last week but we need to go back to the well. The well we reference is of course the Denver Broncos unders. It's now 11-2 on the season, and with Kyler Murray out, Arizona is really going to struggle scoring. 

Betting: Under 37 points

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread: Cincinnati -3.5

Total: 44.5 points

The choice seems relatively simple here. One team is red hot and in the hunt for the top seed in their conference. The other is an inefficient offense that hasn't shown a spark all year. Take Joe Burrow and the Bengals on the road.

Betting: Bengals -3.5

Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Spread: Los Angeles -3

Total: 46.5 points

The Titans have been one of the leakiest secondaries in the NFL by far. They're both vulnerable to big plays and allowing the second-most touchdowns per game to wide receivers. Keenan Allen has seen 14 targets in two straight games and looks to be back and healthy, we'll grab him to score on Sunday.

Betting: Keenan Allen TD (+135 DK)

New York Giants @ Washington Commanders

Spread: Washington -4.5

Total: 40.5 points

Washington has the distinct scheduling advantage here of getting to prepare for only the Giants for the past three weeks. They had a Week 13 game in New York, went on a bye, and now host New York again. It seems borderline unfair, because sandwiched in between these games the Giants had to go and get blown out by Philly. Give us the Commanders.

Betting: Commanders -4.5

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers

Spread: Green Bay -7

Total: 39.5 points

We're sure the schedule makers thought they had themselves a late season gem with this "Monday Night Football" game. Unfortunately, two of the NFC's best from a year ago have fallen out of grace, and this game will be all but meaningless. Twist our arm and we'll back the Packers with the Baker Mayfield magic running dry after one week.

Betting: Packers -7