NFL Week 13 'Beat the Line' moves

What an odd Week 12 it was for our "Beat the Line" bets. We took the New York Giants +3.5 against the New England Patriots thinking the spread would move in our favor. It curiously went the opposite way and closed at +4.5, but the Giants still won outright. We also took the Las Vegas Raiders +9.5, and the line didn't move all week. We were sitting pretty after the Raiders jumped out to a 14-0 lead, but they were outscored, 31-3, the rest of the game to blow the cover. Then, the first leg of our teaser cashed with the Houston Texans, but the Cleveland Browns couldn't bring us home.

It wasn't a winning week, but we're still better than .500 on the year. Let's get back on track with three Week 13 NFL bets we believe will create closing line value by Sunday.

2023 record: 22-9-5 CLV, 19-16-1 ATS

Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins

What a nightmare matchup this is for the Commanders. Washington ranks 31sh in the NFL in passing yards allowed per attempt and dead last in opponent average passer rating. This is arguably the worst passing defense in the league, and now the Commanders have to face Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Good luck!

The Dolphins should be able to cruise to 30 points in this game, and the Commanders have plenty of experience playing from behind and airing the ball out with Sam Howell. This total should creep higher and higher throughout the week, so grab the over now. The bet to make: Over 49.5 (-110 FanDuel)