The equation between what teams should pay a free agent and what they end up paying him do not always match up. The free agent history of the past thirty years is littered with bad contracts. So, if you are a general manager and the prize free agent on the market is Zack Greinke, what should you pay him? Is he closer to Sabathia-type money at $23 million per year or he is closer to Weaver-type money at $16 million per season? Let's take a look.
To look at a value for Zack Greinke, the feeling here is that you have to throw out 2009. That season is looking more and more like an outlier for Greinke. In 2009, he doubled his high for WAR from any other of his most recent five seasons. To add that season in to the equation would be what Greinke's agent should do. But for a general manager, that season should not figure into calculations.
There are a couple of reasons to think this way. First, in 2009, Greinke peaked as far as his velocity is concerned. His fastball was a ...
Found November 10, 2012 on
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Yankees’ Cashman talking to Zack Greinke’s agent
After getting traded from the Milwaukee Brewers to the Los Angeles Angels last season, Zack Greinke posted a 6-2 record with a 3.53 era. Solid number for a backend rotation starter, however, he struggled at times with his command and had trouble keeping the ball low in the strike zone, which led him to give up 11 home runs in less than half a season.
His performance left...
Of course Mike Rizzo has imagined Zack Greinke in the 2013 Nats rotation!
Via Nationals Enquirer
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November 11, 2012
So Mike Rizzo chatted with Jim Bowden and Jim Duquette on SiriusXM's MLB Network Radio on Sunday, and among other things discussed the possibility of the Nats making another run at Zack Greinke this winter (listen here):
Bowden: Can you imagine a rotation of Strasburg, Gonzalez, Greinke, Jordan Zimmermann, and Detwiler!!?? Talk about chances of winning World Series Championships...
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November 11, 2012
Zack Greinke Is Just What the Orioles Need
The Baltimore Orioles had by far surprising run in 2012. Not one ESPN or MLB Network reporter predicted them to make as strong of a run as they did. After finishing the 2011 campaign 69-93, they turned it around with an impressive 93-69 record.
They won an amazing 16 extra inning games in a row, an MLB record. The Orioles were definitely strong contenders this year, but lacked...
How screwed are the Angels if they lose Zack Greinke?
Via Monkey with a Halo
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November 08, 2012
Screwed.
Boned.
Dead in the water.
Up a creek.
In deep doo-doo.
Totally f#&ked.
However you want to phrase it, for the Angels, life without Zack Greinke doesn't look particularly appealing. They gave away most of the best parts of their farm system to get him and their entire off-season plan is centered entirely around the Halos bringing him back...
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November 08, 2012
Hunter's agent reaches out to Dodgers
The Dodgers widely reported interest in Torii Hunter appears to have been overstated.
The team met with Hunters agent at the general managers meetings at Indian Wells this week. But it was Hunters agent who initially reached out to the Dodgers, not the other way around, according to a person familiar with the talks who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
The Dodgers arent shopping...
Angels should look to the International Market
Via Angelswin
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November 11, 2012
By Scott Stedman - AngelsWin.com Columnist
With the end of a disappointing 2012 campaign and the beginning of an off-season filled with needs, the Angels have a busy winter ahead of them. The thin free agent market will, in all likelihood, inflate prices for players to levels higher than ever. In fact, we have already seen this with Maicer Izturis signing with the Toronto...
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November 11, 2012
Rangers Rumors: Zack Greinke over Josh Hamilton?
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November 10, 2012
In another sign that outfielder Josh Hamilton isn’t likely to
return, the Texas Rangers are reportedly focusing on free agent right-hander
Zack Greinke, reports Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com.
The Rangers have joined the
fray for Zack Greinke in another sign that superstar outfielder Josh Hamilton’s days in Texas are
numbered.
While the Los Angeles Angels...
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November 10, 2012
Hunter and Haren, a tour around the majors
Via Monkey with a Halo
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November 09, 2012
As sports fans, it sometimes falls on us to show a modicum of grace in defeat. In most recent Halo history, that defeat is the loss of Dan Haren and Torii Hunter to free agency. It’s easy to whine, place blame, and get angry at the loss of two great players. Rather than take the easy way out, instead we should wish them all of the best and help them make the tough decisions that...
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November 09, 2012
Baseball Therapy: Assessing the Risk: Hamilton, Greinke, and Mental Health by Russell A. Carleton
Via Baseball Prospectus
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November 12, 2012
BP`s clinical psychologist brings his experience and expertise to bear in evaluating the impact of Zack Greinke`s and Josh Hamilton`s mental health histories on their on-field futures.
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November 12, 2012
Halo Headlines: Trout and Weaver finalists for BBWAA awards, Greinke wants $150 million, Angels ...
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November 08, 2012
The November 8th, 2012 edition of daily news for the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim including Trout and Weaver finalists for BBWAA awards, Greinke wants $150 million, Angels hire international scouting director and much more...
The Story: Mike Trout was named a finalist for AL Rookie of the Year and AL MVP while Jered Weaver was named a finalist for the AL Cy Young.
The Monkey...
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Report: Yankees Unlikely to Make Push for Josh Hamilton or Zack Greinke, May Set Sights on Robinson Cano Extension
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November 08, 2012
Baseball’s biggest spenders may be relatively quiet this winter, at least when it comes to big-name, big-money free agents.
The New York Post reports that the Yankees aren’t likely to be in on Josh Hamilton or Zack Greinke, the two biggest names in free agency this offseason. If New York does splurge on a big contract, the Post reports, it will be on a contract extension for...
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November 08, 2012
Around The Web: Dodgers FA SP Options, Hiroki Kuroda Risk, Hyun Jin Ryu Summary
Via ChadMoriyama.com
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November 09, 2012
True Blue LA: Eric Stephen looks at the available free agent starting pitchers and concludes that it’s Zack Greinke or bust.
When it comes down to it, if the Dodgers are hellbent on adding a starting pitcher they should only add a difference-maker. Dempster is a fall back, while Sanchez (money) and Kuroda (draft pick, age) seem overly expensive and not without significant risk...
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November 09, 2012
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