The Carolina Panthers are 4-0 SU and ATS over their last four games, but they face an equally hot team on Sunday when they visit the San Francisco 49ers, who are 5-0 SU and ATS over their last five games.
Bookmakers list San Francisco as a 6-point favorite at home, despite some strong trends – and a computer projection – that favor Carolina.
But the computers project this game differently, giving Carolina the outright edge by a score of 30.8 to 27.9. Historically, Carolina has fared well on the road in San Francisco, owning a 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS all-time record, according to the NFL database at OddsShark.com.
The projected 58.7 points would go well over the game’s posted total of 43.
Carolina isn’t the only team that the computers are projecting to win outright as a road underdog. Despite the fact that the New York Giants are 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS this season, the G-men are favored by 7.5-points hosting the Oakland Raiders, who are coming off of an embarrassing 49-20 loss at home to the Philadelphia Eagles.
Oakland is being picked to get back on track against the lowly Giants this week though, edging out an outright upset by a score of 14.4 to 11. At 25.4 points, this is the week’s second lowest predicted score, and would easily stay under the game’s total of 43.5.
Lastly among underdog picks (and NFL odds updates), the Buffalo Bills are a 3-point underdog on the road against Pittsburgh this week, and are projected to win outright by a score of 16.6 to 15.4. Like New York, Pittsburgh has struggled unexpectedly this season with a 2-6 SU and ATS record through the first half of the season.
As is the case just about every week, the computers pick the Denver at San Diego game to have the week’s highest total, with Denver coming up with a 41.3 to 28.9 win. That win would give Denver the cover as a 7.5-point road favorite and go OVER the game total of 58. Denver is 8-0 on the OVER this season.
The week’s lowest projected total comes in the Jacksonville at Tennessee game, where Tennessee is picked to win 20.6 to 3 as a 13.5-point home favorite. The total is set at 41.5 points.
See all Week 10 NFL computer picks:
Denver (41.3) at San Diego (28.9)
Seattle (29.7) at Atlanta (16.3)
Washington (20.1) at Minnesota (18.2)
Philadelphia (23.2) at Green Bay (29.2)
Cincinnati (24.9( at Baltimore (19.2)
Dallas (27.4) at New Orleans (30.5)
Detroit (27.8) at Chicago (27.1)
Carolina (30.8) at San Francisco (27.9)
Miami (18) at Tampa Bay (11.9(
Oakland (14.4) at NY Giants (11)
Buffalo (16.6) at Pittsburgh (15.4)
Houston (11.6) at Arizona (18.6)
Jacksonville (3) at Tennessee (20.6)
St. Louis (17.1) at Indianapolis (28.1)